Main article · Academic Write-up · Appendix

Data appendix — every incident used in the primary result, every headline, every link

Backing data for the main write-up’s primary result. 66 incidents — human-adjudicated as real and correctly coded, with a determined vehicle make, AND covered by ≥2 of the top 10 Australian outlets — the same population restrictions applied before an incident enters any reported probability, CI, or p-value. Every incident here passed human review — see the main write-up for the full methodology and caveats.

[names make] marks a headline that names the vehicle’s make — the outcome variable the whole study measures.

Tesla incidents (all 3)

2026-08-06 — Tesla 20260806-NSW-01

2026-08-14 — Tesla 20260814-01

2026-08-24 — Tesla 20260824-NT-01

Every other incident, by make

Collapsed by default — click to expand any incident’s articles.

Toyota (19 incidents)

2025-09-02 — 20250902-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-09-20 — 20250920-QLD-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-10-02 — 20251002-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-10-05 — 20251005-SA-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-10-24 — 20251024-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-10-30 — 20251030-02 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-11-07 — 20251107-NSW-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-11-14 — 20251114-04 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-12-02 — 20251202-03 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-12-15 — 20251215-VIC-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-01-29 — 20260129-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-02-08 — 20260208-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-02-21 — 20260221-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-03-28 — 20260328-WA-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-05 — 20260505-QLD-01 — 5 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-21 — 20260521-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-06-16 — 20260616-WA-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-06-21 — 20260621-QLD-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-07-14 — 20260714-WA-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

BMW (4 incidents)

2025-11-14 — 20251114-NSW-01 — 11 article(s), 1 headline(s) name the make
2026-03-10 — 20260310-WA-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-18 — 20260518-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-06-28 — 20260628-NSW-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Ford (4 incidents)

2026-02-07 — 20260207-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-05 — 20260405-02 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-18 — 20260418-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-30 — 20260530-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Holden (4 incidents)

2025-11-09 — 20251109-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-11-12 — 20251112-SA-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-03-15 — 20260315-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-08-17 — 20260817-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Mazda (4 incidents)

2025-12-12 — 20251212-03 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-01-24 — 20260124-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-02-27 — 20260227-NT-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-12 — 20260412-VIC-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Nissan (4 incidents)

2025-12-06 — 20251206-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-19 — 20260419-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-21 — 20260421-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-26 — 20260526-01 — 2 article(s), 1 headline(s) name the make

Honda (3 incidents)

2025-09-07 — 20250907-NSW-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-12-10 — 20251210-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-12-12 — 20251212-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Kia (3 incidents)

2025-11-11 — 20251111-VIC-01 — 6 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-01-29 — 20260129-VIC-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-06-03 — 20260603-NT-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Audi (2 incidents)

2026-05-06 — 20260506-NSW-01 — 4 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-05-23 — 20260523-NSW-01 — 8 article(s), 2 headline(s) name the make

Mercedes-Benz (2 incidents)

2025-09-23 — 20250923-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2025-11-19 — 20251119-QLD-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Skoda (2 incidents)

2026-03-13 — 20260313-VIC-01 — 6 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-07-29 — 20260729-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Subaru (2 incidents)

2025-11-07 — 20251107-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-04-12 — 20260412-QLD-01 — 5 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Volkswagen (2 incidents)

2025-11-17 — 20251117-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make
2026-08-11 — 20260811-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Alfa Romeo (1 incident)

2025-12-08 — 20251208-VIC-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Ferrari (1 incident)

2026-07-25 — 20260725-02 — 2 article(s), 2 headline(s) name the make

Hyundai (1 incident)

2026-03-09 — 20260309-02 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Isuzu (1 incident)

2026-02-18 — 20260218-VIC-01 — 8 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

Jaguar (1 incident)

2026-02-24 — 20260224-WA-01 — 3 article(s), 1 headline(s) name the make

Mitsubishi (1 incident)

2026-05-23 — 20260523-QLD-01 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

RAM (1 incident)

2026-08-03 — 20260803-01 — 3 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make

SsangYong (1 incident)

2026-07-29 — 20260729-03 — 2 article(s), 0 headline(s) name the make